On Hillary's Future in the party

(This is cross-posted at The Symposium and Clintonistas For Obama

(I wrote the bulk of this on June 10th and added some revisions during a Study Break)

About me:  To be honest the last election cycle where I was a Clinton fan was in 1996.  I adored Bill in 1992 when he ran as a change agent and played up Hope.  However Hillary in 2000, 2006 never really appealed to me as I am a mid-west farm boy and New York is a long way away from the prairie both geographically and culturally.  I am guessing because I tend to support insurgents that played a big part in my support in 2008.  I started off supporting John Edwards and then decided in February to back Obama.  As at the beginning Hillary did a Rose Garden strategy which I am never fond of.  I will admit that by May I was extremely impressed with her candidacy.

So On Hillary's Future...

Despite my views I desperately want Sen. Clinton to have a prominent role in the party.  In fact I have even donated to her and plan to again in July if her debt is not yet retired.  I hold this position because I have come to realize the great political strength she has obtained.  This would be the ability to neutralize the education factor.  Since 2000 democrats have been labeled as a party of egg-heads and intellectuals.  This is a great weakness in winning elections as the high school educated vote, while shrinking, is still a large block.  These folks voted for Bush in 2004 and were barely won by Gore in 2000, however Senator Clinton was able to draw this cohort in not only the primary but in general election polling as well.  Her appeals to the this class were viewed differently from other candidates appeals.  Even John Edwards who was considered in the conventional wisdom as the candidate of the white working class, the traditional union folks, was not able to beat Hillary among this group in Iowa or any other state he competed in.  Nate has an article about this here.  Obama was only able to win this group when the race was a landslide (see Wisconsin).  Her appeal to this group is close to unique among democrats as the other prominent national democrats like Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, and Ted Kennedy all have great appeal to college educated democrats.  (please note that I am not pigeon-holing Hillary's support as all high school educated folks but instead saying that she has great strength there that is not often seen in today's democratic party).

Now I honestly don't know if she would be able to get these cohort of voters to vote for Obama in the fall, but if she were able to; then she is the only choice to consider as veep.  If Obama could even hold high school educated voters to a draw he wins in a landslide of epic proportions as he will dominate the college educated vote.  However if Sen. Clinton isn't the VP candidate I hope that she has a very prominent role to play n the national stage.

No other democrat in today's party shows this great of strength among this cohort.  Nate Silver over at 538 did a great run down of this:
538  The high school educated vote has been trending away from the democrats since Bill Clinton's presidency.  To see proof that Hillary truly neutralized the education factor Nate also did this article.  These graphs were prepared before Clinton hit her full stride but it is clear that she connects with the block of voters who have attained a high school education much better than Obama.

Now this polling was done in April which was Obama's nadir.  But imagine a democratic party that has people speaking not only to the college educated crowd (like Obama excels at) but also the high school educated crowd (which Hillary excels at).  To you doesn't that seem like a opportunity to change the landscape and make this country a lot more progressive.  By performing better among high school educated voters Obama could turn his projected dominating victory into a landslide of epic proportions.  If this also had coat tails we could be looking at a Senate with 62 democrats (counting Sanders but not Lieberman) and a house with 300 democratic members.  With that big of a majority we could have UHC, sign into law a card-check law, repeal the Bush tax cuts, reform NCLB.  The sky is the limit for the change that could occur.

For recent history the democrats have ceded the high school vote.  They have done almost well enough among college and post grads to win but not quite.  Obama looks like he will perform better than Gore or Kerry among college educated voters, but by strengthening his position among high school educated voters the map would be a lot bluer.

I wasn't very receptive to her message in the primary but I hope that Hillary Clinton keeps the prominent position she has now.  She connects to voters that agree with democratic positions, but don't typically vote democratic, the party would be a ship of fools not to look at her strengths and make sure that she is a leader on the national stage.  If Obama doesn't pick her as VP, I will be a huge backer of her for Senate Majority Leader, she has proven in the past that she can work with republicans to get things done, and from that prominent position she could bring a whole lot of new voters into the party, combine that with the level of new registrations being done with Senator Obama's campaign and places like Georgia and Louisiana just might be in play.  Or if she doesn't want that then I will be a backer of whatever she wants.  The democratic party needs a voice like hers in order to become truly dominant.

If the democrats do this they can have their cake and eat it too and flip Karl Rove's dreams of a republican majority upside down.  Wouldn't that be great?


Poll
Should Hillary play a prominent role in the democratic party's future
Of course
No
See comments

Votes: 49
Results : Vote Link : Polls

Display:


Tips for a democratic (2.00 / 6)

landslide in 2008 by having democrats who resonate with all voters speaking to the public.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:26:22 PM EST

Thanks, SG! (2.00 / 2)

You've been a real voice of reason here, and I appreciate that. I'm glad you also see that Hillary Clinton is a Democrat who's proven herself to be a good leader. I surely hope Obama will ask her to be VP. And if she's not Obama's VP, I just hope she replaces Reid as Senate Majority Leader ASAP and plays a major role in crafting legislation with the Obama Administration.

Wouldn't that be nice? :-)


No way, no how, no McCain! :-)
by atdleft on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:26:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Her having a prominent national (2.00 / 3)

voice sure would be nice, and the democratic party would benefit greatly from it.

I think Senate Majority Leader would be a better fit for her than VP as she is very 'wonky' and having a wonk who can work across the aisle but is in a safe seat (unlike Daschle and Reid {as of right now} would be a great boon to the party, but if she brings about a greater victory in Nov as VP then that is where she should be.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:33:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Well said... (2.00 / 2)

I'm happy either way. It's just that I wouldn't be such a fan of an Obama-Clinton ticket if I didn't think it would be a HUGE winner this fall. I really think Hillary can help Barack win in states like Florida, Nevada, and New Mexico with large Latino populations, as well as states like Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, West Virginia, and Arkansas with large blue-collar populations. With Hillary's strengths among women, Latinos, and blue-collar workers added to Barack's strengths among African-Americans, young people, and white-collar workers, I think Democrats will really have an UNBEATABLE ticket for November.

And btw, I won't throw a fit if Hillary isn't VP. I'd just hope that she still becomes a tour-de-force in the Senate while Obama takes a VP like Wes Clark or NC Gov. Mike Easley or PA Gov. Ed Rendell who will be a BIG help for him this fall. :-)


No way, no how, no McCain! :-)
by atdleft on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:49:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]

If she could make it so (2.00 / 2)

the high school cohort is split evenly (5 points worse than her alone back in April which wasn't her high opint of head to head vs McCain) then it would truly be a landslide, and Obama would be an idiot not to choose her, because I think he can hold onto the college educated cohort just fine unless his VP were someone like Dick Cheney (shudders)

I think she will become a tour-de-force where ever she is.  She has a very rare strength for the democrats these days.

As for VP's I think Clark is a Rock Star  (along with Hillary, Edwards and Gov Kaine {due to the chemistry of the ticket for the Gov}.  Easley would be an above average choice as he would help greatly in Appalachia and with a group Obama struggles with (the 'Bubba' vote).  I am not that excited about Rendell as I think he is too gaffe prone.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:56:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hey, by the way, (2.00 / 1)

you've currently got two diaries on the rec list! I don't think I've seen anyone manage that since alegre!


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:39:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

My good friend (2.00 / 1)

atd managed it for a while earlier today, but other than that it was timing, the VA poll was easy to do and made the list due to it was good news, this I released on my blog as part of a study break and I told atd that if he wanted it cross psoted he could, he invited me to join his blog and I worked the piece up for it.  Then it made sense to cross-post it here.

But yeah thanks for the high praise only I don't have any network to tell people to come and rec here (other than me telling atd about this).


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:54:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Congrats to atd, too! n/t (2.00 / 1)


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:59:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (2.00 / 4)

tonite, I have to believe at least some of the 48% of the party who voted for / supported her are ticked off.
I predict that if she's not the veep, some will walk / sit on their hands.
And, yes, Obama chastised the crowd.  But, that's after six months of his campaign near daily telling folks on MSNBC that she's a racist neo con DLC war monger.  You reap what you sow.
John McCain says he would stay in Iraq for 100 years? That's crazy talk!
by kosnomore on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:31:59 PM EST

It was (2.00 / 4)

that is really crappy behavior.  I sincerely hope it wasn't very loud or long.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:34:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It was (2.00 / 3)

This is just the type of behavior that breeds disunity and could cause what should be a great victory in November to slip away.


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:37:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Those people (2.00 / 6)

need to realize that the primary is a battle between allies and not enemies.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:45:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Those people (2.00 / 4)

Moreover, the primary is behind us. The only person Democrats in that room should be booing at this point is John McCain.

I'm glad Obama called them out.


"The world is a mess, and I just need to rule it." -- Dr. Horrible
by BobzCat on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:49:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"Those people" are reacting to 6 months (2.00 / 3)

of hearing daily accusations of racism against the Clintons.
You can't tell people one thing for 6 months ("she darkened his picture" "he dissed MLK" "she called for his assassination"), and then say, never mind, it was campaign BS, ignore my accusations.
There's only one way to make it up, it looks more and more like to me.
John McCain says he would stay in Iraq for 100 years? That's crazy talk!
by kosnomore on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:50:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (2.00 / 1)

But by that logic, shouldn't we be even more mad at 6 months of hearing how Obama is inexperienced, only brings a "speech to the table" whereas McCain brings "a lifetime of experience", that he is too liberal, anti-choice, too liberal for wanting to get rid of mandatory minimum sentences (even though she herself later said the same thing), and how his election would be dangerous for the American people and there could be attacks on his first day in office "just like in Great Britain"?  Not to mention how everyone seems intent on pinning the sexism shown by the media to his chest, unfairly.

Shouldn't we be MORE angry about that, since he's actually the nominee?

But we're not.  Why?  Because we understand that it was a hard-fought campaign, and that stuff happens.  Did she get booed?  It WAS unfortunate, and silly, but perhaps all this coverage of PUMA and fellow Dems standing in the way of a victory in November is wearing a bit thin?

Can't have it both ways...


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:04:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Exactly - - - (2.00 / 3)

The ill will is mutual.
That's why we need a unity ticket.
To heal the wounds.
And that's why there won't be unity if she's not veep.

John McCain says he would stay in Iraq for 100 years? That's crazy talk!
by kosnomore on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:07:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Exactly - - - (2.00 / 1)

And Obama has very smart people looking at this right now.  As, I'm sure, he is as well.  If the math and logic adds up to Hillary being what helps the most- he'll offer it.

If not, he won't.

"My way or the highway" folks are few and far between now, and well be fewer and further between by then.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:27:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (2.00 / 1)

I'm confused, could you tell me, how does a comment like this serve the purpose of unity? Oh, never mind, I think I know--it doesn't.


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:33:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

Certainly.  When I took the previous poster's point, gave a counterpoint, and then noted

Because we understand that it was a hard-fought campaign, and that stuff happens.  Did she get booed?  It WAS unfortunate, and silly, but perhaps all this coverage of PUMA and fellow Dems standing in the way of a victory in November is wearing a bit thin?

Why does it have to be a one way conversation?  Am I engendering ill will from someone who clearly already has some by pointing out that the exact same argument he makes holds true if you swap Clinton and Obama's names?

I find it silly to say "let them say whatever they want, but don't say anything back in return lest you make things worse".  That's what got Dems in trouble in 2004 (re: Swiftboating), and at this point, I'm trained not to fall for it.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:10:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

So you are worried about swift-boating and you have been trained. OK then---SIT.


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:48:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

No, I'm not worried about.  I'm not stupid enough to fall for it.  Difference.  There's no such thing as "let the other guy make the argument as much as he wants but don't say anything back to him".  That fails.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:53:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

No,  didn't think you were stupid enough.


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 10:19:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

This is useful.  Keep at it, chief.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 10:33:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Those people" are reacting? (none / 0)

Keep at what?  


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Wed Jun 18, 2008 at 12:37:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

"Race Baiting" (2.00 / 1)

As a longtime and passionate Obama supporter I think the Clinton supporters have a misunderstanding. The vast majority of Obama supporters do NOT think Clinton race baited, is racist or was wanting Obama assassinated.

I know you disagree, and without getting into arguments, the perception Obama supporters had was the "scorched earth / kitchen sink" strategy. Basically that Hillary Clinton was teaming up with McCain and the rest of the GOP to attack-attack-attack.... to the detriment of the PARTY. Because A: Obama is on the same team, and B: It was all but inevitable that he was going to win, and had been so for months.

Now I know you strongly disagree with those opinions and I decided to try to avoid debating them anymore. But to at least understand Obama supporters it's important understand their (our) perceptions. It's not that Hillary Clinton is racist, or race baited, or wants him killed. Yeah, there was a ridiculous "darkening" diary but I'm talking about Obama supporters a whole.

Unfortunately I didn't get to see his speech but I did see Al Gore. I'm surprised there were any boos at all, and I would be stunned if it was more than a couple. And I would be completely blown away if Obama didn't shut them up.


Gobama!
by USArmyParatrooper on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:35:44 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: "Race Baiting" (2.00 / 1)

I've spoken to many Obama supporters who think that the Clinton's were race-bating. That was Obama's intention.

Clinton always had a chance to win because it was going to take the super delegates to decide the primary.

Every ad Hillary ran has been run before by Democrats against fellow Democrats. The 3a.m. ad is a perfect example; it's 24 years old. The whole inexperience attack is boilerplate and mild. If it seems harsh it is because it resonates. But it was done when her campaign was still viable. The super delegates would have voted for Hillary in any other election cycle but were affraid of the consequenses of angering African Americans if they were perceived as over-turning the "will of the people". Of course, the delegate count does not accurately reflect the will of the people because of the arbitrary allocation system.

Bottom line: Had Hillary won and chosen Obama as her running mate none of her supporters would have objected and none of them would have booed him. That isn't an accident. She hasn't personally attacked him. Now the election is personal. If he doesn't put her on the ticket he will lost literally millions of votes...many to McCain.


by mmorang on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 03:34:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]

blah blah (none / 0)

Enough with the sanctimony.  You act as if Hillary was some kind of angel in the primary, when she got plenty dirty.


by mikeinsf on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 03:45:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: It was (2.00 / 4)

I agree - just like the loser which booed Obama at her DC event last week when she was asking them to support Obama. Sad that loser exist on both teams. It is up to us to not accept it anylonger.


Obama 08!
by comingawakening on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:49:41 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama chewed those people out who booed (2.00 / 1)

when he came onto stage to speak.


by slinkerwink on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 06:32:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (2.00 / 2)

I remember hearing quite a few boos at Clinton rallies, too. It's very much common practice after a big battle to have that happen. Frankly, if there was more of an effort on behalf of Clinton supporters or Clinton herself to chastise the people of PUMA et al, this wouldn't be happening post-Primary. As for the race thing, nobody said they were racist, they said they used race, and they did. I don't blame them, so did Obama when he needed to. But it's unfair to put this all on Obama's people and it's naive to think that Obama is to blame.

I thought that Obama taking on his own people and defending Clinton after the fact several minutes later (and speaking very warmly of her) would have scored at least a few points.


If you're being chased by an angry bull and then you notice you're also being chased by a swarm of bees, it doesn't really change things. Just keep on running.
by vcalzone on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:46:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (none / 0)

Nothing will placate, sadly.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:05:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

no points will be scored (2.00 / 1)

by Obama with this individual.  For some folks Obama-hate is far and away the first priority.


by JJE on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:05:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (2.00 / 3)

It scores a lot of points. Obama is not the problem. He knows he needs a unified party for the dems to achieve victory in November. Unfortunatly the message doesn't seem to have gotten thru to all his supporters. I think they need to realize that in the game of life, nothing is less important than the score at halftime.


The man who reads nothing at all is better educated than the man who reads nothing but newspapers. -- Thomas Jefferson
by pollbuster on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:39:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (2.00 / 1)

"Denver! Denver! Denver!"

Yeah, those Obama boo bears are horrid.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:12:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: After her name was boo-ed at the Obama rally (2.00 / 9)

I was there tonight. The booing was indeed idiotic.  However, I think it bears mention that the booing was aimed at Granholm's discussion of her support of HRC.  Lot's of people here are still ticked off at the Gov. for her role in the primary fiasco and her attempt to use the mess she created for her candidate's benefit.

On the other hand, when Gore spoke about Hillary the applause was polite to warm.  When Obama chastised the crowd and then praised both Granholm and Clinton effusively, the place erupted in support.  All in all, I think the way Granholm brought it up contributed to the problem.  And much of it was aimed at her role in the MI mess.  It pissed me off anyway.  But that moment paled in comparison to the receptiveness to Gore's remarks on Clinton and the enthusiastic response to Obama standing up to his own supporters and then his explicit tribute to HRC.


The future is unwritten
by Strummerson on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:48:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama shut the hate down, then set it off! (2.00 / 1)

Mojo! I just wanted to read something about why you felt a certain way about something. You nailed it. The point is that Granholm did actually have something to do with the fiasco in MI. Odd how when Hillary supporters bring it up it's reliving the past but when Obama supporters boo Granholm its about the same issue. "There is more that unites us than divides us"

I'm saving my super image that Student Guy, Recommended Diary Legend,  inspired me to create. There is this one really hard core person who ...nevermind. When I have seen enough (or just one) positive posts that recognize that Hillary deserves at least one word of the praise that Obama, Gore, Dean, etc. have given her from a certain poster I will drop the picture mojo of all times. You just may get it first though, Strummerson.  


Barack Obama is my President. He'll be yours, too.
by Jeter on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 02:31:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

some of the 48% of the party (2.00 / 1)

That could be two people. But it's probably more like 2 dozen.

All but a relative few have moved on to face McLame rather than dwell on the past.


Anybody's vote is worth having. But not everybody's vote is worth campaigning for.
by Freespeechzone on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:30:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: some of the 48% of the party (none / 0)

Here's why you might be wrong:

The Republicans are less popular than colon cancer and they are running a corpse for president. Around 80% of the public thinks the country is headed in the wrong direction and the president has an anchor around his neck. But, Obama is only tied with McCain IF you ignore the Bradley Effect.

You will not be able to start gauging Democratic defections until we know who Obama's V.P. selection. If its not Hillary then I'll have my money on the corpse.


by mmorang on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 03:51:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: some of the 48% of the party (none / 0)

Polls won't mean a thing until after the conventions. And remember that Hillary's propaganda predicted Obama would be getting crushed right now. According to the "expectation game" he's doing fantastic.

It's a mistake to take the angry rantings of a relative handful of bloggers who may even be McBush operatives seriously.


Anybody's vote is worth having. But not everybody's vote is worth campaigning for.
by Freespeechzone on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 11:20:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: some of the 48% of the party (none / 0)

Obama should be crushing McCain right now. Given how unpopular the president and the Republican party are, and concidering McCain is 71, Obama should be destroying McCain.

Wait until Obama makes it official that he doesn't want Clinton any where near the whitehouse and you will see many more defections. Plus, the Republicans will be airing ads showing Obama's race-bating. That will have an impact as well.


by mmorang on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 04:47:15 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: some of the 48% of the party (none / 0)

The predictions of Obama haters have been so completely wrong as to render them uncredible in every matter.


Anybody's vote is worth having. But not everybody's vote is worth campaigning for.
by Freespeechzone on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 05:52:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Her ability to reach those voters (2.00 / 8)

is wonderful, but to be perfectly honest with you, I never quite understood it. She became a champion to many people who were struggling and downtrodden -- what some might call "common people". That struck me as remarkable. She never ceased to amaze me. I was always aware that my candidate (and her husband) were worth a ton of money, and I was surprised (at first) that she became so popular with certain voting blocks.  

Maybe it's the causes she's fought for, maybe it has a lot to do with Bill Clinton's legacy. But it's really incredible that she made so many of those non-college educated people feel important. Whether you buy the "Hillary won the popular vote" line or not (I don't, personally), there's no denying that she drew people to the polls in startling numbers. So did Obama, of course.

They're both such wonderful candidates. It kills me that they had to go up against each other. Two firsts, and one had to lose. It's very sad. But if Hillary could bring her voters to Obama, you're probably right that we'd see a landslide. If making her VP will help, then I'm all for it. I'd rather see her as Majority Leader, but that's just me.


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:44:05 PM EST

Indeed (2.00 / 4)

I do think the Clinton legacy played a role because for a lot of people it was the last time they can remember that times were good, but on the campaign trail she connected very well herself.  In one of the articles I link to it shows that she wins the high school vote by 5 (and this was while the party was still in game the polls so my candidate looks stronger mode).    


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:50:10 PM EST
[ Parent ]

one word. (2.00 / 2)

centrist.


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:54:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]

wut? (2.00 / 1)

Hillary Clinton's policy ideas weren't notably more centrist than Obama's.  Just ask Architek.


by JJE on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:03:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: one word. (2.00 / 2)

She was not at all a centrist in this race. She may have began that way, back in 2007 when she was running a general election strategy in the primary, but the battle with Obama pulled her sharply to the left. (And that's how it should be in a Democratic primary.)


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:17:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Well, really, (2.00 / 1)

both of them are centrists. Unfortunately, I think it will be a long time before this country nominates a progressive candidate. Of course, at this point it would probably be a bad idea to nominate one -- the country needs to move way to left before we could elect a progressive in the GE.


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:20:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

hhmm... maybe not. (2.00 / 2)

i think i agree with johnny above you - she is more to the left than BO on domestic issues but more to the right of him on foreign policy issues - therefore centrist?


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:39:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yes, (2.00 / 3)

she's more conservative on foreign policy, whereas some of her domestic policies are more progressive than his (healthcare, for example). But overall, they're both centrists. They haven't fully embraced some of the progressive values I hold dear, so in my view, they both trend far closer to the center than I'd like.

But it's true that Hillary is considered "the DLC candidate", which just screams "centrist". Obama is farther left of center than Hillary, but for the most part, they're still in the middle. For all the talk of how liberal Obama is, some of his policies aren't particularly liberal. He has a good liberal voting record, of course (for the most part).


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:51:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes, (2.00 / 1)

If Obama is a centrist , then I fear what I would be.

Obama is a an orthodox liberal , his record and policy proposal doesn't indicate otherwise . He is a pragmatist and speaks in moderate language .

Clinton is liberal at heart on domestic issues , but she clearly is surprisingly conservative on issues of fical discipline and balanced budgets , she learnt that from Bill who basically governed as somewhat of a Reagan democrat especially on economic issues


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:03:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yes, (none / 0)

I would go so far as to say a balanced budget and fiscal discipline (not just for social programs, but as a whole) IS a liberal stance?  


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:13:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Well, (2.00 / 2)

my opinion is, perhaps, somewhat distorted by my own positions. My father calls me (somewhat jokingly) a "socialist psychotic". I'm not really a socialist, but I would prefer a progressive agenda. From my point of view, Hillary and Obama are centrists. From the POV of a more moderate Democrat, I'm sure the distinction is sharper.


Even John McCain lusts after teh engels.
by sricki on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:15:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

SG-you said the words... (2.00 / 4)

"white working class"

you know what that means....

just kidding - highly rec'd.


"Me Fail English? That's Unpossible." Ralph Wiggum
by canadian gal on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:45:02 PM EST

Re: SG-you said the words... (2.00 / 5)

SG-you said the words "white working class" you know what that means....

Ooh, I know, I know!

Aaaaaaaaah!!!


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:51:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

very nice nt. (2.00 / 4)


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:52:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I was just using the (2.00 / 4)

title of the article done by Nate Silver.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Mon Jun 16, 2008 at 11:52:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hey SG (2.00 / 3)

I cannot believe this... I agree with you !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:09:14 AM EST

I am looking at evidence, (2.00 / 4)

so it shouldn't be a huge surprise.  You are rational after all.

I was digging through Nate Silver's old pieces trying to find a break down of polls from MN when I saw the piece on the education level factor.

After all high school educated folks have been trending away from the democrats since Bill Clinton's presidency, if we want to be able to have a sea change in how our country views itself the democratic party must dominate with college educated folks and with high school educated folks.  They agree on policies but for too long democrats have sounded inauthentic to them.  Hillary for whatever reason be it Bill's legacy, her own struggles and message, her positions, or some other factor has connected with the cohort that has a high school education.

If she can bring those voters along an Obama/Clinton ticket could bring about the scenario I wrote about up above.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:20:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I am looking at evidence, (2.00 / 2)

The number one reason, I think, is Bill's influence.  .. it appears that he has not forgotten where he came from.  That gives him an ability to connect with ordinary people that is quite rare.  

Most pols who  are born in those circumstances rapidly forget where they came from...

And yes, I too came to be very impressed with Sen. Clinton... in my case, it was sometime between Iowa and NH.  


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:50:50 AM EST
[ Parent ]

It took me longer (2.00 / 2)

but by May I was impressed (even though I was backing Obama).

Bill's influence is important and it could be what opens the door for her (so to speak just like Obama's DNC speech opened the door for him).  But she does a good job of connecting herself, it is kind of too bad that a lot of the Clinton supporters aren't here anymore as it would be interesting to hear their take on this (other than 'you idiot what took you so long...')


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:00:31 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I am a HRC supporter (none / 0)

and here's my take (and some won't like it).
The media narratives influence people much more than  most admit.  
Women love Hillary NOT just because she is a woman (because no HRC I know would ever support Liddy Dole or Condi Rice); but because she is a woman who speaks out for women around the world.  Her speech found here

http://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches /hillaryclintonbeijingspeech.htm

moved so many of us.
Hillary is admired, respected and loved by women around the world.  The disrespect and hate for Hillary is uniquely American and it hurts and it was sad.

Bill Clinton was embraced by many poor (working class) people because he was us.  When Broder and some of his DC friends snidely rejected Bill as not having the "right" to be in the WH, it stung.
Bill grew up poor.  His mother was like many of our mothers.
Hillary grew up middle class at a time when even middle class white girls had to fight the perception that women went to college to get their Mrs. degree, i.e. find a college man to marry.

Yes Bill and Hillary are well off now. I would bet that when Barack and Michelle retire from public office and write their autobiographies, they too will be quite well off.

Bill and Hillary both are flawed.  And that's OK.  Despite their mistakes, despite Hillary's mistakes in her campaign, she is a true champion of liberal causes.

When people speak about her "conservative" foreign policy demeanor, it makes sense.  For Hillary's (and my) entire lifetime, we were taught that to make it in a man's world, one must be tough.  No woman, we heard growing up, could really be commander-in-chief.  We got the message.  So many women my age who advanced to traditionally male jobs/positions of power, took some missteps.  Many thought they had to SHOW their toughness; they had to be tougher on women workers to prove they were not favoring women; they had to show no fear (compassion) at the negotiating table.  Now multipy that to the nth degree where female world leaders have to work with, negotiate with, men who remain conspicuously sexist.   We ALL know there are countries around the world where women are seen as inferior beings; as weak; as unable to lead warriors for the cause.

Hillary was advised, I believe, to exaggerate her ability to be a military leader in order to prove to some she could be as tough as any man.
Part of that was increased since the dems have long been characterized as the "Mommy" party.  Any democrat has to be able to win the votes of at least some of the macho men of the country.

It hurt many women, on a personal level, to hear Hillary called a *itch with either a b or a w.  It hurt to hear it implied she was a racist.  And it hurt for many of us women (of Hillary's age) who marched against war, against poverty, against violence, for women's and children's rights; who worked for democratic candidates for most of our lives to feel that as soom was we got close to victory after decades of knocking on doors, getting out the vote, working for candidates to be told we do not matter...the men, the youth are here to save the day.

Those are my honest feelings and perceptions and may be unpleasant for some to read or invoke anger.  I am voting for Obama and it never occurred to me to do otherwise.  But I am sad, I feel beaten down and for now I do not want to volunteer for the democratic party any more.  I feel betrayed.  I am hoping my feelings will change.  I do not know if they will.


by Jjc2008 on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 10:19:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (2.00 / 1)

Wonderful topic. Thanks. And timely! We need more of these.


by xdem on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:15:17 AM EST

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (none / 0)

she is going to be just fine.

thank you .

no really , thank you.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:16:34 AM EST

I know she will be. (2.00 / 3)

I think the party would be absolute morons not to recognize the role she could play.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:21:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I know she will be. (2.00 / 3)

She is going to subsequently be a hot commodity on the trail , to help build the party.

You are basically lauding her ability to voters , connect with small towns , rural america,  working class voters and Reagan democrats.

These have been swing voters over the years.

If she is on the ticket , I it would help attract some of those voters..

Needless to say my folks are small town / regan democrats and I couldn't get them excited about her earlier on in the campaign  , they were all into Mccain , you should have seen the dinner table the night of the NH primary , I was busy cheering for Clinton while practically the others were cheering for Mccain and these were all democrats but towards the end of the campaign I was surprised how much they couldn't stop talking about her.

I know if Obama put her on the ticket , from my own personal space they would give him a second look.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:34:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I agree with that (2.00 / 2)

(except the part about rural america, Obama does well in the midwest among rural voters and in parts of the west) but basically everywhere else you describe she is a certifiable Rock-Star.

Her appeal to the folks you are describing is why states like TN and KY were on the table for her but not really for Obama.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:38:06 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (2.00 / 1)

Hillary won't be majority leader. Reid's pretty well-entrenched at this point, and has said nothing about stepping aside. Personally, I'd much prefer Dodd, who led fights against wiretapping, waterboarding and net neutrality.


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:25:11 AM EST

Reid is a risky leader (2.00 / 1)

 I don't like Reid as he is from a swing state and leaders should be in safe seats as a common strategy is to 'kill the general' so to speak (they did it to Daschle).


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:29:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Reid is a risky leader (2.00 / 1)

I'm not a huge fan, either, but I'm just tellin' it like it is.


by Johnny Gentle Famous Crooner on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:35:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yeah (2.00 / 2)

That is true.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:39:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Hillary said to (2.00 / 2)

the voters in Oregon that she was the more "progressive" candidate between her and Obama.  I actually think she may be the more liberal of the two if you cut underneath all the rhetoric and media caricatures.  However, she certainly didn't say anything about being more "progressive" than Obama in Kentucky and West Virginia.

Clinton and Obama essentially switched places sometime during the primaries; if my memory serves me correctly, I recall a Jerome Armstrong post about how Clinton defeated Obama among liberals in Iowa and Nevada while Obama won the moderates and centrists.  The constituencies to which they appealed switched at some point.


by Blazers Edge on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:29:53 AM EST

Indeed (2.00 / 2)

one of the articles by Nate says that (the one showing how she beat Edwards among the working class in Iowa.


Student Guy=JoeMentum. No really Student Guy=JoeMentum, after all JoeMentum was an embarrassment so is Student Guy. This sig is FAIL!!
by Student Guy on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 12:40:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Indeed (none / 0)

I would think the turning point came when she attacked Obama for being "too liberal".


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:14:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Indeed (none / 0)

Well, she did say she was "more progressive" than Obama in Oregon.  I suppose more progressive is the same as more liberal.

I don't recall her actually ever saying Obama was too liberal.  One thing that does impress me about Obama is how well he polls among independents, especially against that tool McCain, despite the fact that around seventy percent of the country considers him politically liberal.  The result is a little counterintuitive as HRC was getting crushed by McCain among independents despite the media narrative that she was less liberal than Obama.


by Blazers Edge on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:17:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Indeed (none / 0)

you could be an independent for any reason.

An independent status doesn't necesarily have anything to do with your ideological position .

A few green party voters who I jokingly call communist ( of course they call me names as well ) in Kingston , Tenn are independents.

They are as liberal as they come and yet they think the dem party has sold out .  


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:22:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Indeed (none / 0)

I've voted Democrat about 99% of the time- but I would consider myself an independent.  I don't agree 100% with the party line.

However, as a realist, when I see Obama, McCain, and someone I agree with 100% of the time on the ticket (note- this has never happened), I have to vote with my head- and that's Obama.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:43:08 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Replacing Reid (none / 0)

won't happen and isn't even on the table. She is a Junior Senator and as such will not be offered the position even if he were to remove himself.
Too many others in line for the position that have been supportive of Obama during the election.

Her best shot is to be appointed by Obama because I do not see him taking her as his VP. Bill brings too much baggage to his ticket and gives the GOP too much ammo. His Presidency would then have to contend with his income and just too much there.

I too hope Obama appoints her to something where she can really make a difference and I really think it will be in a position that deals with Health Care. She deserves another shot at that.


by Grissom1001 on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:17:54 AM EST

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (2.00 / 2)

I think the calculus may be a little more complex than that.  First, is an Obama-Clinton ticket additive, subtractive, or something in between?  Second, does a "unity" ticket perform better than other possible combinations?  Third, would her presence on the ticket as a VP candidate still bring in the people to whom her message resonated in the primary?  

Ultimately, the only criterion that I hope the Obama campaign uses is identifying the VP candidate that will maximize their chance of winning the election.  If that's Clinton, so be it.  If it's someone else, such as a governor in a battleground state, then they should pick someone else.


by rfahey22 on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:41:45 AM EST

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (none / 0)

Agreed 100%- and that's what Obama's campaign is thinking about right now.  Looking at numbers, looking at positions, and seeing what works best.  If it's Clinton, great, all aboard, if not, well, she'll have to wait.


John McCain wants to stay in Iraq.
by ihaveseenenough on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:45:20 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (2.00 / 1)

I think Hillary would be a more powerful force as Senate Majority Leader than as a VP. I have never been very impressed with Harry Reid, and I think the party/country would be much better served with a strong leader like Hillary in that spot. It would also give her an opportunity to bolster her legislative resume in case she wants to make another run for president. I see the VP job as just a figurehead position. It's good for getting someone name recognition, but I really don't think Hillary needs that at all.


by glopster on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 01:52:50 AM EST

The Iraq War cost Clinton the nomination (none / 0)

My hope is that Hillary Clinton, and all Democratic  politicians who enabled Bush's Iraq clusterfu@k, and especially those who cheer-led for the war from 2003 to 2007, as Clinton did, will go the way of the buffalo. I do not think Clinton learned anything from her mistake there, because she will not admit to any, and seems to regret only having grievously misjudged the political landscape

The Iraq War cost Clinton the party nomination. Clinton would have been absolutely unbeatable, by Obama or anyone else, had she been on the right side of that issue. If it costs her her Senate seat in 2012, I won't grieve. The war she enabled has cost tens of thousands of others one hell of a lot more than that.


Impeach Bush and Cheney.
by urban shocker on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 07:44:32 AM EST

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (none / 0)

OMG Student Guy!

I go away for a couple of weeks, and you go on strike, and then you come back and positively dominate the rec list. You're becoming the new al*gr*!

Mucho kudos, senor. Me gusto mucho este diario, y tambien que tu has ritornado a MYDD. Aussi, j'etais tres heureux d'encontre ton abilite avec les langues de Vielle Europe. Je t'embrasse. Un abrazo, compadre.


Pointing to the inadequacies of John McCain
by duende on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 07:53:55 AM EST

Re: On Hillary's Future in the party (none / 0)

I can see Clinton as VP although not sure whether Obama has that in mind. I don't see her as Senate Majority Leader over Reid and Schumer. It seems in the near future Chuck Schumer has his eyes on SML position and HRC would be ill-advised to go against one of her main supporters.


by louisprandtl on Tue Jun 17, 2008 at 11:15:26 AM EST


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